In this paper, we provide the asymptotic theory for the widely used Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-pass regression in the usual case of a large number of assets. We find that the convergence of the OLS two-pass estimator depends critically on the time series sample size in addition to the number of...

Are there important cyclical fluctuations in bond market premiums and, if so, with what macroeconomic aggregates do these premiums vary? We use the methodology of dynamic factor analysis for large datasets to investigate possible empirical linkages between forecastable variation in excess bond...

This paper uses the factor augmented regression framework to analyze the relation between bond excess returns and the macro economy. Using a panel of 131 monthly macroeconomic time series for the sample 1964:1-2007:12, we estimate 8 static factors by the method of asymptotic principal...