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Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902819
This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
The construction of the original HML portfolio (Fama and French, 1993) includes six seemingly innocuous decisions that could easily have been replaced with alternatives that are just as reasonable. I propose such alternatives and construct HML portfolios. In sample, the average estimate of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214491
This paper analyzes the finite-sample performance of the two-pass (TP) estimators of factor risk prices when betas have high cross-sectional correlations (Multicollinear) and when betas have small cross-sectional variations (Invariant). Our Monte Carlo simulations, calibrated using actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133797
Two-pass cross sectional regression (TPCSR) is frequently used in estimating factor risk premiums. Recent papers argue that the common practice of grouping assets into portfolios to reduce the errors-in-variables (EIV) problem leads to loss of efficiency and masks potential deviations from asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039368
We investigate the factor exposure of smart beta ETFs under model uncertainty using Bayesian variable selection. We find that smart beta ETFs have exposures to several factors, including size, value, momentum, quality, volatility/low beta, and dividend yield. The average return contribution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899206
Volatility is usually considered as a synonym for risk. Mainstream financial theory states that higher portfolio volatility is translated into higher expected returns while diversification helps eliminate idiosyncratic risks. This leaves us with an apparent anomaly as low-risk (low-beta) stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018815
We survey recent methodological contributions in asset pricing using factor models and machine learning. We organize these results based on their primary objectives: estimating expected returns, factors, risk exposures, risk premia, and the stochastic discount factor, as well as model comparison...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322001
Historically, cat bonds have provided high single-digit average annual returns, paired with a low volatility and little correlation to other asset classes. While there is an extensive literature that explains (ex-ante) cat bonds spreads, there is no factor model in the academic literature that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216898
class of GARCH-in-Mean models. In this set-up our procedure provides a formal framework for testing economic theories that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747376