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We examine the connection between tail risk — as measured in Kelly and Jiang (2014) — and the cross-section of expected returns. In conditional predictive regression systems and vector-autoregressions of the market portfolio and the long- and shoresides of the Fama-French factor portfolios,...
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Recent research argues that uncertainty about future stock borrowing fees is an impediment to short-selling and it explains the risk-adjusted performance of short strategies. One possible mechanism is that borrowing fee risk carries a risk premium. Since the present value of the uncertain...
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