Observable covariates are useful for predicting default under the natural measure, but several findings question their value for explaining credit spreads under the pricing measure. We introduce a discrete time no-arbitrage model with observable covariates, which allows for a closed form...

This paper develops an arbitrage-free pricing theory for a term structure of fi xed income securities that incorporates liquidity risk. In our model, there is a quantity impact on the term structure of zero-coupon bond prices from the trading of any single zero-coupon bond. We derive a set of...