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Building on recent work incorporating recovery risk into structural models we consider the Black-Cox model with an added recovery risk driver. The recovery risk driver arises naturally in the context of imperfect information implicit in the structural framework. This leads to a two-factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972028
In this work we incorporate recovery risk into Merton's original credit risk model by introducing a separate risk driver for the recovery process and rationalize this new model within a "partial information" perspective. We show that while adding the recovery risk driver has no impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031099
The value premium is the empirical observation that low market/book “value” stocks have higher returns than high market/book “growth” stocks. In this paper, we investigate and present evidence for an “equity as a call option hypothesis” for the value premium. Volatility decreases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034933
The investment premium -- the finding that firms with low asset growth deliver high average returns -- is an integral part of recent factor models. I document empirically that the investment premium (1) reflects leverage, (2) does not exist among zero-leverage firms, and (3) increases with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907925
Fama and French (1992) suggest that the positive value premium results from financial distress risk. However, recent empirical research finds that financially distressed firms have lower stock returns, by using empirical estimates of default probabilities. This paper reconciles the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135791
We incorporate long-term defaultable corporate bonds and credit risk in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium business cycle model. Credit risk amplifies aggregate technology shocks. The debt-capital ratio is a new state variable and its endogenous movements provide a propagation mechanism....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136177
The distress puzzle refers to the empirical regularity that firms with high measures of default likelihood earn anomalously low returns, despite having relatively high CAPM betas. This paper shows it is possible to qualitatively explain this anomaly using a consumption-based asset pricing model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136438
I propose a neoclassical production economy with costly external financing, partial investment irreversibility, and endogenous investment/financing decisions to rationalize and quantify the well-documented interaction between the book-to-market equity effect and the financial leverage effect in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137473
Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi (2008) show that firms with a high probability of default have significantly low average future returns. We show that there is a large overlap between stocks classified as high default risk, and those that are likely to produce extremely high returns over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109026
In this paper, we intend to explain an empirical finding that distressed stocks delivered anomalously low returns (Campbell et. al. (2008)). We show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on idiosyncratic coskewness betas,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146648