In order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk – as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index – we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall...

Is systematic monetary policy a driver of the forward premium puzzle, i.e. the tendency of high interest-rate currencies to appreciate, thus strongly violating Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)? We address this question by studying a battery of monetary policy rules in a small open economy that is...

order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall level of...

A measure of risk premium is derived from the comparison of spot and option prices across the US equity and euro dollar markets. Risk premia in both markets co-move with volatility risk. Option prices, however, seem to underreact to changes in return volatility forecasts