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. -- Regeln der Geldpolitik ; Tail-Risks ; Euro-Konvergenz ; weltweite Finanzkrise ; Vermögensrisiko ; Zinsrisiko …Wir argumentieren, dass die Geldpolitik in den Euro-Kandidatenländern darauf abzielen sollte, die exzessive … Instabilität in den zentralen Ziel- und Instrumentenvariablen der Geldpolitik zu mildern, insbesondere in Phasen turbulenter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969864
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This paper presents tests of uncovered interest parity in Croatia, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania; all countries in Central and Eastern Europe with floating exchange rates. Data are monthly and the trading horizon is three months. The estimations show that the UIP hypothesis is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096314
This paper investigates the forecasting ability of survey data on exchange rate expectations with multiple forecast horizons. The survey forecasts are on the exchange rates of five Central and Eastern European currencies: Czech Koruna, Hungarian Forint, Polish Zloty, Romanian Leu and Slovakian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322480
This paper assesses the impact of devaluations on aggregate output for a group of five transition economies during the period 1993-2000. An application of panel unit root tests and panel cointegration establishes the presence of a long run relationship between real output, real exchange rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215508
This paper investigates the forecasting ability of survey data on exchange rate expectations with multiple forecast horizons. The survey forecasts are on the exchange rates of five Central and Eastern European currencies: Czech Koruna, Hungarian Forint, Polish Zloty, Romanian Leu and Slovakian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009157616
We study the transmission of sovereign debt inflow shocks on domestic firms. We exploit episodes of large sovereign debt inflows in six emerging countries which are due to the announcements of these countries' inclusion in two major local currency sovereign debt indexes. We show that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845279
For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199903
The main aim of this article is to present the correlations between different macroeconomic indicators such as inflation rate or interest rate and the dynamics of investment fund in U.S. and Romania. The direct relationship between inflation rate and net subscription of stock funds in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130663
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