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White et al. (2015) extend the vector autoregressive (VAR) for conditional mean to VAR for conditional quantiles (VAR-VaR) to capture the interdependencies among the quantiles of multiple time series. In this paper, we introduce a post-lasso estimator to extend VAR-VaR to the high-dimensional...
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This paper proposes a simple, fairly general, test for global identification of unconditional moment restrictions implied from point-identified conditional moment restrictions. The test is based on the Hausdorff distance between an estimator that is consistent even under global identification...
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This article proposes omnibus specification tests of parametric dynamic quantile regression models. Contrary to the existing procedures, we allow for a flexible and general specification framework where a possibly continuum of quantiles are simultaneously specified. This is the case for many...
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Historical Simulation (HS) and its variant, the Filtered Historical Simulation (FHS), are the most widely used Value-at-Risk forecast methods at commercial banks. These forecast methods are traditionally evaluated by means of the unconditional backtest. This paper formally shows that the...
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