This paper generalizes the ACD models of Engle and Russell (1998) using the so-called q-Weibull distribution as the conditional distribution. The new specification allows the hazard function to be non-monotonic. We document that the q-Weibull distribution recently suggested in physics as a...

A common practice in modeling intertrade durations is to use various hazard functions for data fitting. This paper calls into question this practice and suggests mixing the hazard function as exponential. An underlying hypothesis of the suggestion is that duration data have a mixture of...

This paper provides theoretical properties and Monte-Carlo studies of a stochastic conditional duration model with mixture-of-normal error distributions an effcient estimation approach via a continuous empirical characteristic function. The empirical version of this paper is studied in Xu,...

Engle and Russell (1998) introduce the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model to model the dynamics of financial duration. It is recognized that the ACD model can be specified in ARMA form. We show that as long as the innovations of the ACD model follows a lognormal distribution, the...

This paper provides an up-to-date survey of the main theoretical developments in ACD modeling and empirical studies using financial data. First, we discuss the properties of the standard ACD specification and its extensions, existing diagnostic tests, and joint models for the arrival times of...

In this paper, we suggest and evaluate specification tests to test the validity of the conditional mean function implied by Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) models. We propose Lagrange multiplier tests against sign bias alternatives, various types of conditional moment tests and...

Discount rates affect stock prices directly via the discount-rate channel or indirectly via the cash-flow channel because expected future cash-flow growth varies with the discount rates. The traditional Macaulay duration captures the effect from the discount-rate channel. I propose a novel...

Various methods are available to extract the “business cycle component” of a given time series variable. These methods may be derived as solutions to frequency extraction or signal extraction problems and differ in both their handling of trends and noise and their assumptions about the ideal...

Many macroeconomic variables exhibit Markov regime-switching characteristic, and the latent state variable controlling regime change is endogenous. This paper shows that if the regressor is endogenously switching, the OLS estimator of the regression coefficients will be biased. A simple two-step...