Time series analysis is a tremendous research area in statistics and econometrics. As remarked in a review by Howell Tong in 2001, for about 100 years up to 2001 Biometrika (alone) published over 400 papers on the subject. [Tong (2001)] Furthermore, in the review, Howell Tong is able break down...

We study the estimation of heterogeneous effects of group-level policies, using quantile regression with interactive fixed effects. Our approach can identify distributional policy effects, particularly effects on inequality, under a type of difference-in-differences assumption. We provide...

We propose a semiparametric method to estimate the average treatment effect under the assumption of unconfoundedness given observational data. Our estimation method alleviates misspecification issues of the propensity score function by estimating the single-index link function involved through...

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a wide class of multivariate dynamic models with time —...

This paper considers a general model specification test for nonlinear multivariate cointegrating regressions where the regressor consists of a univariate integrated time series and a vector of stationary time series. The regressors and the errors are generated from the same innovations, so that...

This paper studies a model with both a parametric global trend and a nonparametric local trend. This model may be of interest in a number of applications in economics, finance, ecology, and geology. The model nests the parametric global trend model considered in Phillips (2007) and Robinson...

We propose an estimation methodology for a semiparametric quantile factor panel model. We provide tools for inference that are robust to the existence of moments and to the form of weak cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic error term. We apply our method to CRSP daily data