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We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
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during the period of the financial crisis. In a Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis, finally, we further illustrate the advantages … of copula methods. In particular the Student-t copula provides an appropriate quantification of VaR at different …
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Using futures data for the period 1990 - 2008, this paper finds evidence that expansionary monetary policy surprises tend to increase crude and heating oil prices, and contractionary monetary policy shocks increase gold and platinum prices. Our analysis uncovers substantial heterogeneity in the...
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