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We provide a method for distinguishing long-range dependence from deterministic trends such as structural breaks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US … be captured accurately by a model incorporating both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles that allows for somedegree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746636
trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US … be captured accurately by a model incorporating both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles that allows for some degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750067
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Penalized splines have become a popular tool to model the trend component in economic time series. The outcome of the spline predominantly depends on the choice of a penalization parameter that controls the smoothness of the trend. This paper derives the penalization of splines by frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350098
On purpose to extract trend and cycle from a time series many competing techniques have been developed. The probably most prevalent is the Hodrick Prescott filter. However this filter suffers from diverse shortcomings, especially the subjective choice of its penalization parameter. To this point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350102
relation of long-term trends. …
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relation of long-term trends. …
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