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even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039490
predict the dynamics of home rents and prices in the nearest future. In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 … framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears to dominate all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505867
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830
The objectives of this paper are to study the impact of liberalisation on trade deficits and current accounts of developing countries. It is expected that trade liberalisation would promote economic growth from the supply side by leading to a more efficient use of resources, by encouraging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295419
favour a similar economic performance among adjacent regions. Therefore, proper forecasting of socio-economic variables, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349204
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529004
Agglomeration economies play an important role in the explanation of the development and regional growth. For this reason, there exists a growing interest in the analysis of standards of co-localisation of the economic activities. This topic has been dealt with from different approaches using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011542559
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to … different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No … surveys. We also find that combinations of individual forecasts are consistently selected among the top forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482020
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both … ; forecasting ; dynamic panel model ; spatial autocorrelation ; German cities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579231
Although the housing prices in the 127 largest German cities have surged strongly in recent years, there is still no sign of a Germanywide housing bubble. In comparison with 2009, the price of condominiums has risen by around 55 percent. Single-family houses cost between 38 and 45 percent more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669510