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forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting … errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation measures are … of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326350
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784942
is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …. Buying stocks with high sensitivities to World Fear while selling stocks with low sensitivities generates excess returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
relationship between the S&P500 Composite Index and the Volatility Index (VIX), but few empirical studies have focused on the … affect ETF returns. The ARCH-LM test shows conditional heteroskedasticity in the estimation of ETF returns, so that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441620
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410196
We study the relationship between conditional quantiles of returns and the long-, medium- and short-term volatility in … the volatility time series provides us with new insights into the pricing of risk and increases the accuracy of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722181
using recently developed volatility models, including HEAVY, Realized GARCH and GAS models, applied to daily returns on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972985
We investigate the pricing of volatility risks in currency markets. First, we show that pricing ability of volatility … risk is concentrated in some of its components. Diffusive volatility dominates jump volatility in pricing carry trade … returns, while jump volatility is important in jointly explaining carry trade and momentum returns. Both short-run and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012552
The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … definite. Using this approach we can disentangle the estimates of the integrated co-volatility matrix and jump variations from … the co-jumps of two assets have a significant impact on future co-volatility, but that the impact is negligible for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477100