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bubbles”. In this paper, we provide a model-free test of rational bubbles and we apply it to the U.S. housing market. Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404365
speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period 1987Q3 - 2012Q4. Overall, we find that actual house prices are not … significantly disconnected from underlying economic fundamentals. Thus, there is no evidence of speculative house price bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764458
We employ recently developed cross-sectionally robust panel data tests for unit roots and cointegration to find whether house prices reflect house-related earnings. We use U.S. data for Metropolitan Statistical Areas, with house price measured by the weighted-repeated-sales index, and cash flows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219293
We use a time-varying parameter dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-TV-SV) estimated using Bayesian methods to disentangle the relative importance of the common component in FHFA house price movements from state-specific shocks, over the quarterly period of 1975Q2 to 2017Q4. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229804
We empirically document deviations of residential real estate prices from fundamental values at the micro level and investigate their relationship with local bank lending growth during a period of unconventional monetary policy. Our findings indicate a positive relationship between credit growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015397364
House prices have inertia, which may be because housing-market participants need time to recognize long booms and recessions. Within a dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with markets for housing and defaultable mortgages, I consider the case of imperfect knowledge and learning about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350522
As regions across the United States are experiencing high and rising house prices, inclusionary zoning is increasing in popularity as a tool to increase the availability of affordable housing for households making less than their region's median income. However, when inclusionary zoning requires...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861887
In this paper, we develop a local housing stock heterogeneity measure. This measure may be used to monitor housing stock heterogeneity over time and in combination with other measures of policy interest. We illustrate the latter by looking at local housing stock heterogeneity, house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014325788
Individual sales prices and local vacancy rates in the housing market pose a natural analogy to the wage curve, a popular concept in labor economics that describes how individual wages decrease with higher local unemployment. While housing search and matching models and housing externalities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570572
test methodology proposed by Phillips et al. (2015a,b). Motivated by the theory of financial arbitrage, we examine within a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851645