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/tightness and inflation expectations, contributing to the debate on the relevance of the Phillips curve in South Africa, where … previous findings have been inconclusive. Our analysis reveals that long-run inflation expectations are the primary driver of … inflation, with these expectations anchored around 5% historically but declining since the financial crisis. This trend suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314767
There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too country-centric, in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224261
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419361
inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
We evaluate the monetary determinants of inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia by using the … excessive monetary growth on inflation is mixed: It is positive for Poland and Slovakia, but negative for the Czech Republic and … Hungary. Nevertheless, these results suggest that money does provide information about future inflation and that a McCallum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155386
This paper studies monetary policy rules in a small open economy with Inflation Targeting, incomplete pass-through and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523924
The purpose of the present paper is to investigate perceived inflation gap persistence using actual data of … professional forecasts. We derive the unobserved perceived inflation gap persistence and using a state dependent model we estimate … the non-linear persistence coefficient of inflation gap. Our main result is that for GDP deflator inflation, the estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471470
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001782903
. This paper continues this strand of research by examining the role survey expectations play in the inflation process and … reports three principal findings. One, short-run inflation expectations appear to play a significant role in explaining U ….S. inflation over the past 20-25 years. Two, long-run expectations generally do not appear to have a direct influence on U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374709
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the … therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation expectations data constructed on the basis of both qualitative and … provides some insights into the nature of the interaction between monetary policy and inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271069