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take into account forward-looking information released by the central bank. The results show that, compared to surprises in …-varying signals of the central bank. I augment the standard monetary policy Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) with additional … information variables from Fed statements, which allows us to study the information-free effects of monetary policy shocks and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014097238
The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712553
This note proposes an update to Figure 1 in "Macroeconomic Shocks and their Propagation" in the Handbook of Macroeconomics of 2016 (Ramey, 2016). Figure 1 of Ramey (2016) reports Impulse-Response Functions (IRFs) of variables of interest to a shock in the Federal Funds Rate, following the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416282
satisfied. Moreover, when the central bank has few information on the private agents' expectations formation of inflation, we … point, and the studies that have treated the following problem, 'Why does the central bank set the band target?' are very … central bank adopts it, and inflation band targeting can be solved the time inconsistency problem when this condition is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216202
Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the macroeconomic information released by the central bank? Because … differences between central bank's and private agents' information sets affect private agents' interpretation of policy decisions …, this paper aims to investigate whether the publication of macroeconomic information by the central bank modifies private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948514
Using two estimated models for the euro area and the United States, this paper investigates whether the observed difference in the amplitude of the interest rate cycle since 1999 in both areas is due to differences in the estimated monetary policy reaction function, differences in the structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137291
Monetary policy shocks that convey new macroeconomic information are significant predictors of both the absolute and … risk-adjusted returns from value investing. Positive Fed information shocks lead to higher subsequent value returns …. Crashes in the returns of value investing are most likely to occur in the aftermath of negative Fed information shocks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231644
bank activity has on interbank markets. In our model, banks optimize a portfolio of risky investments and riskless excess … household deposits. We then introduce a central bank into the model and show that central bank activity enhances financial … stability. We model the default of a large bank and analyse the resulting contagion effects. This is compared to a common shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971540
We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626