The main goal of this paper is to examine the relationship between macroeconomic shocks and yield curve movements in Hungary. To this end, we apply a Nelson-Siegel type dynamic yield curve model, where changes of the yield curve are driven by two latent factors and some key macro variables that...

This paper identifies supply and demand shocks that are specific to the oil-market, and separates them from economy-wide shocks that affect the demand for many asset classes, including oil. The shocks are identified by the sign and magnitude of the correlation between daily oil price percent...

There is a tight empirical link between the determinants of the cross-section of risk premia and selected structural shocks identified by macroeconomists. To show this, I propose an orthogonalisation method that approximates the stochastic discount factor with VAR innovations. The method is...

We propose an Economic Stability Index (ESI) incorporating house prices and stock prices as components of the measure of the inflation rate in order to allow the European Central Bank (ECB) to achieve both price and macroeconomic stability. We use an optimisation approach to estimate target...

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...

I propose a new method of constructing a macroeconomic shock based on its ability to explain the cross-section of asset returns. The only identifying assumption is that this λ-shock demands the highest risk price per unit of exposure, or equivalently, minimises the associated sum of squared...

We study the effects of a conventional monetary expansion, quantitative easing, and operation twist on corporate bond yields and spreads. These policies are simulated as shocks to the Treasury yield curve, and the impulse response functions of corporate yields and spreads to shocks are computed...

What are the macroeconomic forces behind the cross-sectional and time-series variation in expected excess equity returns? To answer this question, my paper integrates models of empirical asset pricing with structural vector autoregressions (VAR). I construct two orthogonalised shocks in a VAR...

A decade after the 2008–2009 global recession, the world’s financial architecture has developed into an integrated network of financial and commodity markets, mainly due to cross-border investments and trade. In light of this, shock spillovers have also intensified as the interdependence...

Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...