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We have constructed a financial conditions index for Norway (FCIN). The FCIN offers a daily update on Norwegian financial conditions based on data from January 2003 on bank lending rates, bond spreads, the foreign exchange market, the stock market and the housing market. The index is constructed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013484734
Poor identification of individual impulse response coefficients does not necessarily mean that an impulse response is imprecisely estimated. This paper introduces a three-pronged approach on how to communicate uncertainty of impulse response estimates: (1) with Wald tests of joint significance;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225369
Poor identification of individual impulse response coefficients does not necessarily mean that an impulse response is imprecisely estimated. This paper introduces a three-pronged approach on how to communicate uncertainty of impulse response estimates: (1) withWald tests of joint significance; (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728036
, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355187
Durch Bereitstellung von Krediten tragen Banken zur Transformation von Finanzkapital in Sachkapital bei. Die Kreditvergabepolitik der Schweizer Banken hat sich im vergangenen Vierteljahrhundert stark gewandelt. Basierend auf einem Datensatz (1987-2012) mit bankengruppenspezifischen Bilanzdaten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386830
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604911
We investigate the transmission of financial shocks through the macroeconomy. To that end we develop an endogenous regime-switching structural vector autoregressive model with time-varying transition probabilities. First, we allow for the transition probabilities to be dependent on the state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242248
forecasting exercise show that the four approaches considered perform equally well and produce highly correlated forecasts …, meaning that non-pervasive shocks are of no helps in forecasting. We conclude that comovements captured by factor models are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120664
contemporaneous dependencies among the variables in the data. We demonstrate through extensive simulation studies with different data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354565
We conduct a novel empirical analysis of the role of leverage of financial institutions for the transmission of financial shocks to the macroeconomy. For that purpose, we develop an endogenous regime switching structural vector autoregressive model with time-varying transition probabilities that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238425