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Despite the use of VaR as a means to control risk, using VaR can have the opposite effect. VaR is used by bank and … insurance regulators more than any other risk measure. A value-at-risk (VaR) constraint on the probability that future firm … who maximizes his firm's expected equity value subject to a VaR constraint, when the firm is in bad financial health, may …
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The subprime crisis was quite damaging for hedge funds. Using the local projection method (Jordà 2004, 2005, 2009), we forecast the dynamic responses of the betas of hedge fund strategies to macroeconomic and financial shocks-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis...
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Forecasts, models and stress tests are important tools for policymakers and business planners. Recent developments in these related spheres have seen greater emphasis placed on stress tests from a regulatory perspective, while at the same time forecasting performance has been criticized. Given...
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Macroeconomic research often relies on structural vector autoregressions to uncover empirical regularities. Critics argue the method goes awry due to lag truncation: short lag-lengths imply a poor approximation to DSGE-models. Empirically, short lag-length is deemed necessary as increased...
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