We estimate ex post returns to emerging market debt by combining secondary-market prices with observed flows based on World Bank data. From 1970-2000, returns averaged 9 percent per annum, about the same as returns on a ten-year U.S. treasury bond. This reflects the combined effect of the 1980s...

This paper investigates whether the new Basel Accord will induce a change in bank lending to emerging markets using a comprehensive new data set on German banks` foreign exposure. We test two interlinked hypotheses on the conditions under which the change in the regulatory capital would leave...

The global downturn caused by the Covid-19 pandemic has the potential to send more than half the nations around the globe into debt distress in the near future. As of this writing, nearly a hundred countries have approached the IMF for assistance. Many, perhaps most, of these countries will need...