This paper examines transmission of shocks between the U.S. and foreign markets to delineate interdependence from contagion of the U.S. financial crisis by constructing shock models for partially-overlapping and non-overlapping markets. There exists important bi-directional, yet asymmetric,...

This paper examines long-horizon predictability of stock prices in Sri Lanka using 1-4 year real returns on indices for market and industry portfolio during the 1985-97 period. In a model of prices, which contains a random walk component and a slowly decaying transitory price component, which...

This study examines the impact of liberalization of the Sri Lankan stock market on return volatility. We specify GARCH and TGARCH models of volatility, and estimate them using 16 years of weekly returns for the period from 1985 to 2000. The results show that liberalization of the market to...