The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as...

Using three distinct approaches - statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model - this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i)...

Using three distinct approaches—statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model— this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include:...

In recent years, portfolio flows to emerging markets have become increasingly large and volatile. Using weekly portfolio fund flows data, the paper finds that their short-run dynamics are driven mostly by global “push” factors. To what extent do these cross-border flows and global risk...

"China's Emerging Financial Markets is necessary reading for those who seek to understand the strategic direction of this key industry, as well as those who wonder what role China will play in the current global economic crisis."--BOOK JACKET

Cover -- Contents -- Foreword -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- PART I: DIVERSIFICATION ATTEMPTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA -- 1 Soaring of the Gulf Falcons: Diversification in the GCC Oil Exporters in Seven Propositions -- 2 The Riddle of Diversification -- PART II: EXPERIENCES OF...

The 'Gulf Falcons'-the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council-have high living standards as a result of large income flows from oil. The decline of oil prices between summer 2014 and fall 2015 underscores the urgency for the Gulf Falcons to diversify away from their current heavy reliance on...

The "Gulf Falcons"-the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council-have high living standards as a result of large income flows from oil. The decline of oil prices between summer 2014 and fall 2015 underscores the urgency for the Gulf Falcons to diversify away from their current heavy reliance on...