Extant customer base models like the beta geometric/negative binomial distribution (BG/NBD) predict future purchasing based on the customer’s observed purchase history. We extend the BG/NBD by adding an important non-transactional element that drives future purchases: complaint history. Our...

Complete and Incomplete Econometric Models John Geweke Princeton University Press Princeton and Oxford Contents Series Editors' Introduction vii Preface ...

This paper revisits the accuracy of inflation forecasting using activity and expectations variables. We apply Bayesian model averaging across different regression specifications selected from a set of potential predictors that includes lagged values of inflation, a host of real activity data,...