This paper develops a novel approach to information-based securities trading by characterizing the hidden state of the market, which varies following a Markov process. Extensive simulation demonstrates that the approach can successfully identify market states and generate dynamic measures of...

This paper develops a novel approach to information-based securities trading by characterizing the hidden state of the market, which varies following a Markov process. Extensive simulation demonstrates that the approach can successfully identify market states and generate measures of...

Applying a recently developed approach, the paper estimates the daily arrival rates of buy and sell orders originated from different trading motives for each stock in a sample of NYSE-listed companies. Based on these arrival rates, it shows that stock return tends to continue on consecutive days...

Applying a recently developed approach, the paper estimates the daily arrival rates of buy and sell orders originated from different trading motives for each stock in a sample of NYSE-listed companies. Based on these arrival rates, it shows that stock return tends to continue on consecutive days...