This book is an expository introduction to the methodology of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is primarily intended for investigators, students and researchers that are familiar with mathematical models but are less familiar with the techniques for performing their sensitivity analysis....

This book is an expository introduction to the methodology of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is primarily intended for investigators, students and researchers that are familiar with mathematical models but are less familiar with the techniques for performing their sensitivity analysis....

Foreword -- Preface -- Contents -- 1 Decisions and Sensitivity Analysis -- 2 Setup of Sensitivity Analysis -- Part I Deterministic Methods -- 3 Tornado Diagrams -- 3.1 The Underlying Intuition -- 3.1.1 Formal Treatment: First-Order Sensitivity Measures -- 3.1.2 Algorithmic Implementation --...

In the present paper we use the output of multiple expert elicitation surveys on the future cost of key low-carbon technologies and use it as input of three Integrated Assessment models, GCAM, MARKAL_US and WITCH. By means of a large set of simulations we aim to assess the implications of these...