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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008811071
intertemporal price. The model space is limited to stochastic volatility (SV) in the errors of the MS-BVARs. Of the 15 MS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007877
intertemporal price. The model space is limited to stochastic volatility (SV) in the errors of the MS-BVARs. Of the 15 MS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078965
I study whether monetary gold hoarding was the main cause of the Great Depression in a structural VAR analysis. The notion that monetary forces played an important role in bringing about the depression is well established in the narrative literature, but has more recently met some skepticism by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249623
A series of recent reviews of the depression of 1920-21 by Austrian School and libertarian economists have argued that the downturn demonstrates the poverty of Keynesian policy recommendations. However, these writers misrepresent important characteristics of the 1920-21 downturn, understating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144724
This paper examines the ability of a simple stylized general equilibrium model that incorporates nominal wage rigidity to explain the magnitude and persistence of the Great Depression in the United States. The impulses to our analysis are money supply shocks. The Taylor contracts model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154226
Using Growth at Risk as a measure of downside growth risk, the authors find that higher perceived levels of downside growth risk seem to be negatively associated with long-term growth. Output collapses and crises are a fact of life. Severe economic downturns occur periodically and have grave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014124889
velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during … cycle, credit shocks, velocity and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919681
We study the implications of increased price flexibility on aggregate output volatility in a dynamic stochastic general … flexibility ; aggregate volatility ; systematic monetary policy ; DSGE model ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521652
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640