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The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value. This equivalence relationship is a subjective. Thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031830
In this paper I study the relationship between rationality and asset prices when agents have heterogeneous and incorrect beliefs about future events. Using the fully rational pricing as a benchmark, I show that when agents behave according to the Subjective Generalized Kelly rule (Bottazzi et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011805975
This paper studies asset pricing wherein the model combines dynamic learning and habit formation with agents' heterogeneous beliefs and preferences in a dynamic, stochastic, general-equilibrium, pure-exchange, international Lucas orchard. The intertemporal equilibrium model considers two groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093705
Diversification of financial securities is considered a substantial element of portfolio risk. In this context, the … individual portfolios and later compared to the hypothetical common equity index. The results show diversification benefits …35, FTSE MIB, and FTSE100. In contrast, DAX, MDAX, and CAC40 on average tend to be less diversified. The diversification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277308
Most papers in the portfolio choice literature have examined linear predictability frameworks based on the idea that simple but flexible Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models can be expanded to produce portfolio allocations that hedge against the bull and bear dynamics typical of financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658243
We show that the last few components in the principal component analysis of the correlation matrix of a group of stocks may contain useful financial insights by identifying highly correlated pairs or larger groups of stocks. The results of this type of analysis can easily be included in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759755
We propose a non-parametric procedure for estimating systemic co-jumps and independent idiosyncratic jumps, and study associated news reported in Factiva and Bloomberg for thirty five stock markets from 1988 to 2014. Our results suggest that it is important to distinguish between systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963201
In this paper we consider the question of how to improve the efficacy of strategies designed to capture factor premiums in equity markets and, in particular, from the value, quality, low risk and momentum factors. We consider a number of portfolio construction approaches designed to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966327
Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new … to competing models. Employing a recently proposed conditional diversification benefits measure that considers higher …-order moments and nonlinear dependence from tail events, we document decreasing benefits from diversification over the past ten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035318
This paper presents three definitions of time diversification and analyzes their implications for investment horizons …. Using decision quality criteria and methodology, we question standard advice. In analyzing time diversification with a … minimum of assumptions, we answer two main questions: how to rigorously define time diversification and what conditions favor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089732