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Overconfidence is one of the most important biases in financial markets and commonly associated with excessive trading and asset market bubbles. So far, most of the finance literature takes overconfidence as a given, "static" personality trait. In this paper we introduce a novel experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034133
by a large literature. Here we test whether the occurrence of bubbles depends on the experimental subjects' cognitive … sophistication. In a two-part experiment, we first run a battery of tests to assess the subjects' cognitive sophistication and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477154
Do women and men behave differently in financial asset markets? Our results from an asset market experiment using the … period. Additional analysis shows the results are not due to differences in risk aversion, personality, or math skills …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007486
This study analyzes investors' perception of placebic information and its impact on stock price estimates. We initiate a questionnaire-based stock price forecast competition among 196 undergraduate students in business administration. We show that placebic information increases the perceived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426318
To study coordination in complex social systems such as financial markets, the authors introduce a new prediction market set -up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is known, and thus its rationality can be evaluated. In two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001782
To study coordination in complex social systems such as financial markets, the authors introduce a new prediction market set-up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is known, and thus its rationality can be evaluated. In two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231540
How do investors perceive dependence between stock returns? And how does their perception of dependence affect investments and stock prices? We show experimentally that investors understand differences in dependence, but not in terms of correlation. Participants invest as if applying a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855690
This paper aims to investigate market participants' reactions to sequential information, presenting firm-specific news and market-wide information. Experimental study takes place in the COVID-19 pandemic era, as market-wide information representation. We also provide firm-specific information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281264
What people perceive as risk clearly goes beyond variance. Several papers have shown that, e.g., probability of loss … plays a more prominent role in perceived risk than does variance. We are the first to explore how individual risk perception … distributions which they then trade on. We first elicit subjects' individual risk perceptions, finding results in line with earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853981
-varying volatility are preferred to the long-run risk model. We analyze asset pricing implications of the estimated models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610