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factor asset pricing structure with other specifications capturing dynamic properties of volatilities and covariances between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
The debate surrounding the financial performance of Shariah compliance (SC) and socially-responsible (SR) investments versus traditional ones remains controversial. This study pioneers an examination of this issue within Indonesia, a country where SC Investments (SCIs) and SR Investments (SRIs)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015334602
This paper analyzes the interdealer-broker market for single-name Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) using a novel dataset from the GFI trading platform. We find that CDSs exhibit reverse J-shaped patterns for trading and quoting activity in the U.S., and U-shaped patterns in Europe and Japan. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150232
In this paper, we explore the interconnection and existing relationships between the Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (henceforth, CDS) and the stock markets of the main European countries. Thus, the goal of this paper is to test if the CDS premia can predict the stock market returns of the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870707
In this paper, we apply time-varying copulas to investigate whether a contagion effect existed between energy and stock markets during the recent financial crisis. Using the WTI oil spot price, the S&P500 index, the Shanghai stock market composite index and the Shenzhen stock market component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951535
The main task of this paper is to determine accuracy of some of widely used technical analysis techniques for MBI-10 stocks price forecast at MSE. We are testing accuracy of several technical analysis techniques: MACD (Moving-Average Convergence/Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780553
We propose a new approach to imposing economic constraints on forecasts of the equity premium. Economic constraints are used to modify the posterior distribution of the parameters of the predictive return regression in a way that better allows the model to learn from the data. We consider two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064939
We find that investor attention proxies proposed in the literature collectively have a common component that has significant power in predicting stock market risk premium, both in-sample and out-of-sample. This common component is well extracted by using partial least squares, scaled principal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852097
We propose an employee sentiment index, which complements investor sentiment and manager sentiment indices, and find that high employee sentiment predicts a subsequent low market return, significant both in- and out-of-sample. The predictability of the employee sentiment index can also deliver...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832753
We develop a novel method to impose constraints on univariate predictive regressions of stock returns. Unlike the previous approaches in the literature, we implement our constraints directly on the predictor, setting it to zero whenever its value falls below the variable's past 12-month high....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900845