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bubbles. By using the formalism of dynamical system theory, we explain what drives the bubbles and how foreshocks or … rationalises the log-periodic power law singularity pattern documented in many historical financial bubbles. The notion of ‘ghosts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762259
Understanding the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the stock market is important because macroeconomic variables have a systematic effect on stock market returns. This study uses monthly data from India for the period from April 1994 to July 2018 to examine the long-run...
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Forecasting stock market returns is one of the most effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification. There are several forecasting techniques in the literature for obtaining accurate forecasts for investment decision making. Numerous empirical studies have employed such methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268500
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
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Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359796