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We present a framework to identify market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic impact. Stock options of firms with establishments in the landfall region exhibit large, long-lasting increases in implied volatility, reflecting impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847804
We present a framework to identify market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic impact. Stock options of firms with establishments in the landfall region exhibit large, long-lasting increases in implied volatility, reflecting impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850911
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
spillover and timeinconsistency. We find that both distortions reduce the equilibrium asset return and delay investment in … financial incentives, implemented in our model by a regulator and by a long-term investment fund. The regulator commands carbon … pricing and the fund provides subsidies to reduce technology costs or to boost investment returns. The investment subsidy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214337
significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one …-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles the effect of sentiment on investment. Moreover, allowing uncertainty …, and investment measures. We also document similar effects for aggregate equity issuance. Consistent with theory, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350126
This paper examines the real effects of weather on firm performance, using temperature as our proxy for weather. The relation between temperature and performance depends on season, industry, geographic location, and is often firm-specific. Therefore, to test this relation we adapt a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015323341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668600
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008990694
A flexible statistical approach for the analysis of time-varying dynamics of transaction data on financial markets is here applied to intra-day trading strategies. A local adaptive technique is used to successfully predict financial time series, i.e., the buyer and the seller-initiated trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374563