We create a market-wide measure of dispersion in options investors' expectations by aggregating across all stocks the dispersion in trading volume across moneynesses (DISP). DISP exhibits strong negative predictive power for future market returns and its information content is not subsumed by...

This paper analyzes the field of investors' decision-making on a multi-asset market. It does it through a simulation games on a social network framework. It has been demonstrated that more stocks there are in the game and more changing alternatives investors have available to choose from,...

In this paper we present a simple closed form stock price formula, which captures empirical regularities of high frequency trading (HFT), based on two factors: (1) exposure to hedge factor; and (2) hedge factor volatility. Thus, the parsimonious formula is not based on fundamental valuation. For...

We apply dynamic programming to solve a long-horizon fund choice problem, given that the underlying market can switch between different regimes. The objective function is based on reaching a target level of wealth, following the paradigm of goal-based investing. In a world with a good regime...

The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative and qualitative critical analyse regarding the three important aspects of stock market evolution. First, the forecasting problems are presented and analyse in order to establish the main problems and the potential solutions. Second, the...

Using a novel database, we show that the stock-price impact of analyst trade ideas is at least as large as the impact of stock recommendation, target price, and earnings forecast changes, and that investors following trade ideas can earn significant abnormal returns. Trade ideas triggered by...

We study a unique Chinese dataset of equity analysts' on-site visits to publicly listed companies. We find that analyst silence (no release of report from visit date to the next quarterly earnings announcement) contains information that negatively impacts both stock returns and earnings...

The brokerage firms and financial institutions recommend for buying and selling shares throughout the year. The objective of the paper is to investigate whether there is any scope to earn higher return than the market on the basis of recommendation offered. This paper has considered one eighty...

As a visual mode of analysis is more intuitive to human cognition than algebraic numbers, we propose that the visual pattern of historical prices is a salient signal that attracts attention; thereby inducing overreaction. We construct a long-short portfolio, including the stocks that are more...

The aim of this study is to examine whether securitized real estate returns reflect direct real estate returns or general stock market returns using international data for the U.S., U.K., and Australia. In contrast to previous research, which has generally relied on overall real estate market...