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In the wake of the stock market crash of 1929 and the Great Depression that followed, New York City's municipal government decided to levy new taxes on stock gains to generate funds needed to support the city in those difficult economic times. Faced with pressure from brokers, stock traders, and...
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We estimate that the ban on short-selling financial stocks imposed by the SEC in September 2008 led to price inflation of 10-12% in the banned stocks based on a factor-analytic model that extracts common valuation information from the prices of stocks that were not banned. This inflation...
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During the subprime crisis, the FDIC has shown, once again, laxity in resolving and closing insolvent institutions. Ronn and Verma (1986) call the tolerance level below which a bank closure is triggered the regulatory policy parameter. We derive a model in which we make this parameter stochastic...
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We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets, outperforms well-known characteristics in explaining the...
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This paper investigates how to improve prediction accuracy of stock realized volatility using a large set of predictors. Exploiting normalized positive adjusted R-square and significant t statistic of predictor obtained from the in-sample result as weight, we develop two simple and effective...
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