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the unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk free rate, equity … premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk free rate and price …-dividend ratio are pro-cyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
and 4 years is effective in explaining the differences in risk premia across alternative test assets, including recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904
In times when short-term policy rates are at or near the zero lower bound, central banks use unconventional policies such as forward guidance and quantitative easing to influence the slope of the yield curve. In this paper, we analyze the dynamic responses of key U.S. macroeconomic variables to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081729
other and the economy in a gradual and endogenous adjustment process; (ii) the impact of a commodity price shock on global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957071
other and the economy in a gradual and endogenous adjustment process; (ii) the impact of a commodity price shock on global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957130
We decompose global stock market volatility shocks into financial originated shocks and non-financial originated shocks. Global stock market volatility shocks arising from financial sources reduce substantially more global outputs and inflation than non-financial sources shocks. Financial stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908108
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to financial stability. In particular, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015359529
This paper explores the dynamic relationship between firm debt and real outcomes using data from 24 European economies over the period of 2000-2018. Based on macro data, it shows that a rise in credit to firms is associated with an increase in employment growth in the short-term, but employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353733
We propose a risk-based firm-type explanation on why stocks of firms with high relative short interest (RSI) have lower … risk. Consistent with this argument, we show that these firms have high firm-specific uncertainty and option-like equity …, and the aggregate volatility risk factor can largely explain the high RSI effect. The key mechanism is that high RSI firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037671