This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...

In line with Keynes' intuition, volatility in the stock market and in real economic activity are linked by expectations of long term profits. We show that analysts' optimism about the long term earnings growth of S&P 500 firms is associated with a near term boom in major US financial markets,...

COVID-19 has had an immense impact on global stock markets, with no sector escaping its effects. Investor attention toward COVID-19 surged as the virus spread and its consequences imposed on everyday life. Using Google search volume (GSV) as a proxy for investor attention, our results show that...

Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...

This paper identifies robust determinants of US stock price movements in the economic shadow of the COVID-19 crisis and in the presence of model uncertainty, using several influential factors highlighted in relevant research. Our investigation performs an extreme bounds analysis (EBA), a global...

This paper examines transmission of shocks between the U.S. and foreign markets to delineate interdependence from contagion of the U.S. financial crisis by constructing shock models for partially-overlapping and non-overlapping markets. There exists important bi-directional, yet asymmetric,...

This paper examines the contagion effects of the U.S. subprime crisis on international stock markets using a DCC-GARCH model on 38 country data. We find evidence of financial contagion not only in emerging markets but also in developed markets during the U.S. subprime crisis. We also find...

This study explored the effectiveness of the contrarian and momentum strategies in the United States stock market-S&P 500 and Chinese stock markets (Taiwan, Hong Kong, & Singapore) both during the 2008 financial crisis and during the pre-crisis period. Additionally, the study examined the...

This study explored the effectiveness of the contrarian and momentum strategies in the United States stock market-S&P 500 and Chinese stock markets (Taiwan, Hong Kong, & Singapore) both during the 2008 financial crisis and during the pre-crisis period. Additionally, the study examined the...