In New Keynesian models favourable cost-push shocks lower inflation and increase output. Yet, when the central bank's inflation target is not perfectly observed these shocks turn contractionary as agents erroneously perceive a temporary reduction in the target. This effect is amplified when...

Can a DSGE model replicate the financial crisis effects without assuming unprecedented and implausibly large shocks? Starting from the assumption that the subprime crisis triggered the financial crisis, we introduce balance-sheet effects for housing market borrowers and for commercial banks in...

We build a business cycle model characterized by endogenous firm dynamics, where banks may prefer debt renegotiation, i.e. non-performing exposures, to outright borrowers' default. Debt renegotiations per se do not have adverse effects in the event of financial crisis episodes, but a large share...