The author examines new conceptual views of economic growth which focus attention on the importance of initial conditions, random shocks, and changes in expectations with special reference to some countries in East Asia and Latin America. He points out that according to theory and evidence,...

Deepening real and financial integration of developing countries into the world economy has prompted renewed interest in the contribution of external shocks to their macroeconomic fluctuations. This paper revisits the issue using four decades of annual data for a large sample of developing...

For reason of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modeled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous...