Fortschritte bei der Armutsbekämpfung sind in Bolivien seit Beginn der Reformen eher bescheiden geblieben, wenn man die erzielten Stabilisierungs- und Wachstumserfolge als Referenz zugrunde legt; sie sind sogar enttäuschend, wenn man sie an den Zielen der Armutsreduzierungsstrategie misst. Die...

This paper develops a large-scale, dynamic life-cycle model to simulate Russia's demographic and fiscal transition under favorable and unfavorable fossil-fuel price regimes. The model includes Russia, the U.S., China, India, the EU, and Japan+ (Japan plus Korea). The model predicts dramatic...

This paper develops a large-scale, dynamic life-cycle model to simulate Russia's demographic and fiscal transition under favorable and unfavorable fossil-fuel price regimes. The model includes Russia, the U.S., China, India, the EU, and Japan+ (Japan plus Korea). The model predicts dramatic...

The Chinese economy upheld a frail recovery in 2022 under the triple superposition of contraction of demand, disruption in supply, and weakening expectations, aggravated by unanticipated adverse shocks in the midst of global turmoil. Over the year, rising income uncertainty set off by the...