In this paper, we introduce a new ranking system where the data are preferences resulting from paired comparisons. When direct preferences are missing or unclear, then preferences are determined through indirect comparisons. Given that a ranking of n subjects implies paired preferences, the...

In this book experts from quite different fields present simulations of social phenomena: economists, sociologists, political scientists, psychologists, cognitive scientists, organisational scientists, decision scientists, geographers, computer scientists, AI and AL scientists, mathematicians...

This paper studies simulation-based optimization with multiple outputs. It assumes that the simulation model has one random objective function and must satisfy given constraints on the other random outputs. It presents a statistical procedure for testing whether a specific input combination...

This paper introduces a method for simulating multivariate samples that have exact means, covariances, skewness and kurtosis. A new class of rectangular orthogonal matrices is fundamental to the methodology, and these "L-matrices'' can be deterministic, parametric or data specific in nature. The...

This paper focuses on simulation-based inference for the time-deformation models directed by a duration process. In order to describe the heavy tail property of the time series of financial asset returns, the innovation of the observation equation is assumed to have a Student-t distribution....

In this paper we consider two cases of pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit statistical arbitrage method. We use a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios, defined in a cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show...

In the microsimulation literature, it is still uncommon to test the statistical significance of results. In this paper we argue that this situation is both undesirable and unnecessary. Provided the parameters used in the microsimulation are exogenous, as is often the case in static...