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This paper presents a practical volatility estimation method for cash flow simulation based real option valuation with … changing volatility. During cash flow simulation, present value of the future cash flows and their corresponding cash flow … provide all the information required for estimating how the standard deviation and volatility of the stochastic process change …
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This paper provides a review on modeling electricity markets with System Dynamics (SD) focusing on deregulated electricity market models. First the SD method is classified within the wide field of electricity market modeling. Then all distinctive properties of the SD method in this context are...
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This paper shows that the presence of conditional staging in R&D (Research & Development) has a critical impact on portfolio risk, and changes diversification arguments when a portfolio is constructed. When R&D projects exhibit option-like characteristics, correlation between projects plays a...
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