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International evidence on professional interest rate forecasts : the impact of forecasting ability

Cukierman, Alex; Lustenberger, Thomas - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011912703

Short-term forecast of Ukrainian economy including shadow sector using causal simulation model

Vasylenko, Yuri V. - In: Mokslo darbai / Vilniaus Universitetas 99 (2020) 1, pp. 131-145

A new causal simulation model of economic development was created, which comprehensively in detail and fully reflects … various types of legal and shadow economic activities and their interrelations. The model is used to forecast the whole (legal … Ukrainian authorities take an active position in the implementation of the developed forecast for the economic development of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264616

The role of credit spreads and structural breaks in forecasting the term structure of Korean government bond yields

Lee, Chang Hoon; Kang, Kyu Ho - In: Asia-Pacific journal of financial studies 44 (2015) 3, pp. 353-386

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458991

A Framework for Economic Forecasting

Ericsson, Neil R.; Marquez, Jaime R. - 1999

interpreting economic forecasts. This framework's value is illustrated by re-examining mean square forecast errors from dynamic … as nonlinearity bias and the possible nonmonotonicity and nonexistence of mean square forecast errors in isolation from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197201

Do money and financial variables help forecasting output in emerging European economies?

Caraiani, Petre - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 46 (2014) 2, pp. 743-763

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252721

Some Thoughts on Making Long-Term Forecasts for the World Economy

Fardoust, Shahrokh - 2013

Countries and international organizations working on longer-range development issues depend on long-term quantitative projections and scenario analysis. Such forecasting has become increasingly challenging, thanks to the rapid pace of globalization, technological progress, the interplay among...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011395969

Likelihood of financial distress in Canadian oil and gas market : an optimized hybrid forecasting approach

Mahbobi, Mohammad; Sukhmani, Rashmit Singh G. - In: Review of applied economics 13 (2017) 1/2, pp. 67-84

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011889241

Le modèle macroéconométrique Mésange : réestimation et nouveautés

Dufernez, Anne-Sophie; Elezaar, Claire; Leblanc, Pierre; … - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721951

Projecting Unemployment Durations : A Factor-Flows Simulation Approach with Application to the Covid-19 Recession

Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel - 2020

We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of … individual labor force histories. Applying our approach to the July Blue Chip forecast of the COVID-19 recession, we project that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827541

Expert forecasting with and without uncertainty quantification and weighting : What do the data say?

Cooke, Roger M.; Marti, Deniz; Mazzuchi, Thomas - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 1, pp. 378-387

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012693076