Die vorliegende Arbeit befasst sich mit der Vorhersage von Währungskrisen. Dazu wird ein dreidimensionales Frühwarnsystem für Währungskrisen konstruiert, das anhand zehn osteuropäischer Länder von 1995 bis 2003 mit einer binär logistischen Regression in sample und out of sample auf seine...

Since the fall of the Berlin wall in 1989, the success of the former Soviet Bloc countries to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) has been mixed. The objective of this paper is to capture the strategic interdependence between investment decisions by foreign firms and reform decisions by host...

The strategic interdependence between market reforms and foreign direct investment (FDI) in transition economies in the 1990s is presented in an evolutionary game-theoretic framework. The static game has two equilibria: in one, FDI contributes to economic restructuring through acquisitions in...

Experiments evaluate the fit of human behaviour to the Shapley-Shubik power index (SSPI), a formula of voter power. Groups of six subjects with differing votes divide a fixed purse by majority rule in online chat rooms. Earnings proxy for measured power. Chat rooms and processes for selecting...

This paper examines how neutral the current EU decision-making procedures are to membership and how well they obey certain transparent general constitutional principles. The paper evaluates the performance of the procedures by strategic and classical power indices. The main emphasis in the...