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This paper studies the theoretical properties and implementation issues with the risk-neutral density (RND) estimator based on the mixture-of-lognormal (MLN) approach. First, we establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the MLN method under the correct choice of mixtures and propose...
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We analyze the construction of multivariate forecasting densities based on conditional models for each variable, given the other variables; a joint predictive density is obtained by iteratively simulating from the conditional models. This idea has been pursued in the context of missing data...
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