This paper studies a model with both a parametric global trend and a nonparametric local trend. This model may be of interest in a number of applications in economics, finance, ecology, and geology. The model nests the parametric global trend model considered in Phillips (2007) and Robinson...

We study estimation and inference of Expected Shortfall (ES) for time series with Infinite variance. The rate of convergence is determined by the tail thickness parameter and the limiting distribution is in the stable class with parameters depending on the tail thickness parameter of the time...

We propose an estimation methodology for a semiparametric quantile factor panel model. We provide tools for inference that are robust to the existence of moments and to the form of weak cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic error term. We apply our method to CRSP daily data.