This paper considers tests and confidence sets (CSs) concerning the coefficient on the endogenous variable in the linear IV regression model with homoskedastic normal errors and one right-hand side endogenous variable. The paper derives a finite-sample lower bound function for the probability...

We study the estimation of causal treatment effects on demand when treatment is randomly assigned but prices adjust in response to treatment. We show that regressions of demand on treatment or on treatment and price lead to biased estimates of the direct treatment effect. The bias in both cases...

We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures use test statistics constructed by resampling data in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that the statistics are asymptotically normal under the weak...

The instrumental variable model is one of the central tools for the analysis of causal relationships in observational data. The Anderson and Rubin (1949) test is an important method that allows for reliable inference in the instrumental variable model when the instruments are weak. Yet, the...

This paper is concerned with inference on the coefficient on the endogenous regressor in a linear instrumental variables model with a single endogenous regressor, nonrandom exogenous regressors and instruments, and i.i.d. errors whose distribution is unknown. It is shown that under mild...