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This paper demonstrates that unit root tests can suffer from inflated Type I error rates when data are cointegrated. Results from Monte Carlo simulations show that three commonly used unit root tests - the ADF, Phillips-Perron, and DF-GLS tests - frequently overreject the true null of a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309691
this assumption. In this paper, we propose robust procedures for a residual-based test of cointegration when the data are … cointegration tests may be subject to substantial size distortions and standard OLS inference may lead to spurious results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014221890
In the conduct of empirical macroeconomic research, unit root, cointegration, common cycle, and related tests … cointegration tests. These Monte Carlo findings underscore the importance of either using economic theory as a guide to data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075928
This paper considers testing procedures for the null hypothesis of a unit root process against the alternative of a fractional process, called a fractional unit root test. We extend the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests of Robinson (1994) and Tanaka (1999), which are locally best invariant and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654059
The presence of conditional heteroskedasticity invalidates standard autocorrelation tests such as the Durbin-Watson statistic and its many variants, and reduces the power of standard unit root tests like the Dickey-Fuller test. This paper addresses the problem of testing for AR(1) and AR(p)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087060
cointegration for model selection. The aim of this paper was twofold; one was to evaluate the performance of these five routinely … (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries using Bounds cointegration test. It was found that information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238626
memory time series regression models, allowing for fractional cointegration. A likelihood-ratio based approach for estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015200188
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