In this paper we address the problem of projecting mortality when data are severely affected by random fluctuations, due in particular to a small sample size, or when data are scanty. Such situations may emerge when dealing with small populations, such as small countries (possibly previously...

In this paper, we take the point of view of an insurer dealing with life annuities, which aims at building up a (partial) internal model in order to quantify the impact of mortality risks, namely process and longevity risk, in view of taking appropriate risk management actions. We assume that a...

The mortality dynamics experienced in the latest decades, especially at adult and old ages, has motivated the introduction of major innovations in the modeling of mortality for actuarial applications; such innovations concern, in particular, the representation of the uncertainty relating to...

The uncertainty regarding financial returns and the life expectancy, joint to the reduced social security benefits, increasingly expose individuals to the risk of outliving their post-retirement assets. However, the demand for longevity guarantees remains low, due to high costs. The providers,...

Life annuities are attractive mainly for healthy people. In order to expand their business, in recent years, some insurers have started offering higher annuity rates to those whose health conditions are critical. Life annuity portfolios are then supposed to become larger and more heterogeneous....

The cost of longevity guarantees of traditional annuity products has increased in the recent scenario, characterized by declining mortality rates, in particular at unanticipated levels. Increasing the annuity loading rewarding the accepted longevity risk is not an option for annuity providers,...

The cost of longevity guarantees of traditional annuity products has increased in the recent scenario, characterized by declining mortality rates, in particular at unanticipated levels. Increasing the annuity loading rewarding the accepted longevity risk is not an option for annuity providers,...