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with high fitness. We characterize the stability and bifurcation properties of the underlying deterministic model via the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343956
This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007642
This exercise offers an innovative learning mechanism to model economic agent's decision-making process using a deep … reinforcement learning algorithm. In particular, this AI agent is born in an economic environment with no information on the … adjusting its actions accordingly (i.e., online learning). I illustrate that the economic agent under deep reinforcement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603191
We analyze the theoretical moments of a nonlinear approximation to real business cycle model with stochastic volatility … and recursive preferences. We find that the conditional heteroskedasticity of stochastic volatility operationalizes a time … differing orders of approximation, enabling us to identify the common channel through which stochastic volatility in isolation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487749
We construct a Heston-type stochastic volatility model with a Markov switching regime to price a plain-vanilla stock … enough to provide a wide variety of volatility surfaces for the same volatility level but different regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006139
equilibrium (DSGE) models with stochastic volatility. Our approach is fully Bayesian and employs an affine solution strategy that … premium in a DSGE model that includes time-preference, technology, investment, and volatility shocks. Time-preference and … historical stochastic volatility and equity risk premium series display pronounced countercyclical fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191433
uncertainty is proxied by the (unobserved) volatility of the structural shocks, and a regime change occurs whenever credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472852
We propose a new framework for studying the evolution of heterogeneous beliefs in a dynamic feedback setting. Beliefs distributions are defined on a beliefs space representing a continuum of possible strategies agents can choose from. Agents base their choices on past performances, re-evaluating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334360