Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...

Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...

This paper addresses the challenges associated with pricing exotic options, specifically path-dependent ones, with a focus on the limitations of standard Monte Carlo simulations and the advantages provided by Conditional Monte Carlo methods, introduced by Babsiri and Noel in 1998. Path dependent...

A contingent claims valuation model which allows to highlight the implications of program trading in spot markets for the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike...

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master...

This paper introduces the Inverse Gamma (IGa) stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters, defined by the volatility dynamics dVt = κt.(θt − Vt).dt λt.Vt.dBt. This non-affine model is much more realistic than classical affine models like the Heston stochastic volatility...

This paper builds and implements a multifactor stochastic volatility model for the latent (and observable) volatility from the quarter and year forward contracts at the NASDAQ OMX Commodity Exchanges, applying Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation methodologies for estimation, inference,...

Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) has become an important field as its calculation is required in Basel III, issued in 2010, in the wake of the credit crisis. Exposure, which is defined as the potential future loss on a financial contract due to a default event, is one of the key elements for...